Monday, February 04, 2008

A Beauty Contest

They say young people are excited about Obama for President. This very much reminds me of 1960, the year I graduated from BHS. The young people then liked John Kennedy. I’m sure many older folks in Bloomington remember the day a platform (or flat bed truck?) was set up on the south side of the square and some celebrities spoke for Kennedy . The only speaker I can recall was the actor Jeff Chandler…probably because he was heckled and he threatened to come into the crowd and settle the issue. For young people it was the youth, charm and looks of Kennedy versus the older looking, lackluster and much uglier Nixon . It turned out to be a close election. The folks for whom issues mattered (Unions, Corporations, Taxpayers, etc) made it a horse race. Then, as now, the candidates made grand sounding statements and promised things would get better. The reality is that Congress is where the real power is but Congress has 535 members , numerous committees and rules so arcane the public cannot understand them. So we focus on the President. He is one man and we can understand that.
Ltr sent H-T 4Feb08

Update: After this letter was published I got a call from a guy who was at the rally. I believe his name is Jerry Gregory. He reminded me that the actress Angie Dickenson was there and had spoke before Chandler. Chandler opened by saying something like "Angie can even speak while lying down." There was a shocked silence from the crowd then catcalls began which triggered Chandler's outburst.

Saturday, February 02, 2008

Population of Selected Countries

(click to enlarge)


 

China

1,321,851,888

India

1,129,866,154

United States

301,139,947

Indonesia

234,693,997

Brazil

190,010,647

Russia

141,377,752

Nigeria

135,031,164

Japan

127,433,494

Mexico

108,700,891

Germany

82,400,996

Iran

65,397,521

France

63,713,926

Spain

40,448,191

Canada

33,390,141

Iraq

27,499,638

Korea, North

23,301,725

Australia

20,434,176

Syria

19,314,747

Netherlands

16,570,613

Chile

16,284,741

Cuba

11,394,043

Greece

10,706,290

Belgium

10,392,226

Hungary

9,956,108

Sweden

9,031,088

Switzerland

7,554,661

Bulgaria

7,322,858

Hong Kong

6,980,412

Israel

6,426,679

Denmark

5,468,120

Norway

4,627,926

Ireland

4,109,086



About one in three persons in the world is either Chinese or Indian. The current world population of 6.6B is expected to grow to 9B by 2050. Almost all of this increase will be in Africa and Asia. Environmentalists say population growth is the largest threat to the environment. My opinion is that some of these countries will not have the needed political stability nor will their environment sustain such growth. China has a "one couple, one child" law and tries to enforce it. As far as I know, it is the only country with this law.

On the other hand, many advanced countries are shrinking because their people are choosing not to have children. They have such low birth rates they face huge social problems in the future such as not enough workers to support the elderly. Oddly enough Italy, the home of the Catholic church, has one of the lowest birth rates in Europe. America currently has a slightly positive popultion growth.

Some other observations: Ireland (4M) about the same size as the Pheonix, Arizona urban area. The Philadelphia urban area(5.9M) is larger than Denmark. The London metro area (8.6M) is larger than Israel. California (36M) has more people than Canada. If you are a small country like Denmark you have to be a little nervous about the future if some of the 9B decide maybe your tiny population does not merit all the your territorial rights.